Four Three Suited Vs Ace Three Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: A3s (70.0% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: 43s: 29.11% • A3s: 69.11% • Tie: 1.78%

This matchup is heavily dominated, with the favorite holding a commanding statistical edge prior to the flop.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Four Three Suited vs Ace Three Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Four Three Suited (43s)   Ace Three Suited (A3s)
29.11% Win 69.11%
1.78% Tie 1.78%
30.00% Equity 70.00%

Four Three Suited vs Ace Three Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Four Three Suited   Ace Three Suited
7 Sklansky Rating What is this? 5
1.5 Chen Formula What is this? 5
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? 5
-0.13 Expected Value What is this? 0.02

Four Three Suited vs Ace Three Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Four Three Suited   Ace Three Suited
0 High Card 2,012,040
1,331,400 One Pair 6,069,024
1,619,100 Two Pair 3,410,124
295,056 Three Of A Kind 629,232
1,037,784 Straight 357,384
1,420,716 Flush 1,445,100
231,312 Full House 247,728
11,868 Four Of A Kind 16,788
34,572 Straight Flush 12,912

Strategic Breakdown: 43s vs A3s

A3s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 70.0% equity, while 43s trails at 30.0% (with 1.78% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • 43s Direct Win: 29.11%
  • A3s Direct Win: 69.11%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 1.78%
  • Statistical Edge: +40.0% for A3s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: 43s vs A3s

Who is favored to win between 43s and A3s?

A3s holds the statistical advantage with 70.0% equity and a 69.11% win rate. 43s has 30.0% equity and wins 29.11% of the time, with a 1.78% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 1.78%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 29.11%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 3.4 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs