Five Two Unsuited Vs Four Three Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: 43s (53.38% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: 52o: 36.62% • 43s: 43.38% • Tie: 20.01%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Five Two Unsuited vs Four Three Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Five Two Unsuited (52o)   Four Three Suited (43s)
36.62% Win 43.38%
20.01% Tie 20.01%
46.62% Equity 53.38%

Five Two Unsuited vs Four Three Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Five Two Unsuited   Four Three Suited
- Sklansky Rating What is this? 7
0 Chen Formula What is this? 1.5
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? -
-0.12 Expected Value What is this? -0.13

Five Two Unsuited vs Four Three Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Five Two Unsuited   Four Three Suited
0 High Card 0
11,371,680 One Pair 12,559,320
10,330,092 Two Pair 10,256,868
2,356,848 Three Of A Kind 2,518,488
2,790,612 Straight 3,493,764
1,381,392 Flush 4,885,092
1,753,572 Full House 1,761,840
98,796 Four Of A Kind 95,040
11,352 Straight Flush 81,012

Strategic Breakdown: 52o vs 43s

43s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 53.38% equity, while 52o trails at 46.62% (with 20.01% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • 52o Direct Win: 36.62%
  • 43s Direct Win: 43.38%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 20.01%
  • Statistical Edge: +6.76% for 43s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: High Variance (Coin Flip)

Frequently Asked Questions: 52o vs 43s

Who is favored to win between 52o and 43s?

43s holds the statistical advantage with 53.38% equity and a 43.38% win rate. 52o has 46.62% equity and wins 36.62% of the time, with a 20.01% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 20.01%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 36.62%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.7 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs