Five Two Suited Vs Ace Three Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: A3s (61.88% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: 52s: 37.81% • A3s: 61.57% • Tie: 0.63%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Five Two Suited vs Ace Three Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Five Two Suited (52s)   Ace Three Suited (A3s)
37.81% Win 61.57%
0.63% Tie 0.63%
38.12% Equity 61.88%

Five Two Suited vs Ace Three Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Five Two Suited   Ace Three Suited
- Sklansky Rating What is this? 5
0 Chen Formula What is this? 5
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? 5
-0.14 Expected Value What is this? 0.02

Five Two Suited vs Ace Three Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Five Two Suited   Ace Three Suited
0 High Card 1,471,800
3,170,952 One Pair 6,964,272
3,299,544 Two Pair 4,494,276
801,828 Three Of A Kind 1,022,076
1,044,912 Straight 575,076
1,409,700 Flush 1,690,760
574,428 Full House 598,152
31,656 Four Of A Kind 37,548
24,596 Straight Flush 13,088

Strategic Breakdown: 52s vs A3s

A3s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 61.88% equity, while 52s trails at 38.12% (with 0.63% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • 52s Direct Win: 37.81%
  • A3s Direct Win: 61.57%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.63%
  • Statistical Edge: +23.76% for A3s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: 52s vs A3s

Who is favored to win between 52s and A3s?

A3s holds the statistical advantage with 61.88% equity and a 61.57% win rate. 52s has 38.12% equity and wins 37.81% of the time, with a 0.63% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.63%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 37.81%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.6 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs