Five Four Suited Vs Pocket Tens Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: TT (77.86% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: 54s: 21.88% • TT: 77.59% • Tie: 0.53%

This matchup is heavily dominated, with the favorite holding a commanding statistical edge prior to the flop.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Five Four Suited vs Pair Of Tens - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Five Four Suited (54s)   Pair Of Tens (TT)
21.88% Win 77.59%
0.53% Tie 0.53%
22.14% Equity 77.86%

Five Four Suited vs Pair Of Tens - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Five Four Suited   Pair Of Tens
6 Sklansky Rating What is this? 2
2 Chen Formula What is this? 9
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? 2
-0.08 Expected Value What is this? 0.58

Five Four Suited vs Pair Of Tens - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Five Four Suited   Pair Of Tens
0 High Card 0
0 One Pair 9,680,760
1,515,888 Two Pair 12,384,792
1,035,648 Three Of A Kind 4,280,148
3,459,312 Straight 892,440
2,183,160 Flush 740,160
657,792 Full House 3,526,992
47,472 Four Of A Kind 370,848
91,332 Straight Flush 10,368

Strategic Breakdown: 54s vs TT

TT enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 77.86% equity, while 54s trails at 22.14% (with 0.53% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • 54s Direct Win: 21.88%
  • TT Direct Win: 77.59%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.53%
  • Statistical Edge: +55.72% for TT

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Low Variance (Dominant Favorite)

Frequently Asked Questions: 54s vs TT

Who is favored to win between 54s and TT?

TT holds the statistical advantage with 77.86% equity and a 77.59% win rate. 54s has 22.14% equity and wins 21.88% of the time, with a 0.53% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.53%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 21.88%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 4.6 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs