Pocket Sixes Vs Pocket Aces Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: AA (80.46% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: 66: 19.36% • AA: 80.27% • Tie: 0.37%

This matchup is heavily dominated, with the favorite holding a commanding statistical edge prior to the flop.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Pair Of Sixes vs Pair Of Aces - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Pair Of Sixes (66)   Pair Of Aces (AA)
19.36% Win 80.27%
0.37% Tie 0.37%
19.54% Equity 80.46%

Pair Of Sixes vs Pair Of Aces - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Pair Of Sixes   Pair Of Aces
6 Sklansky Rating What is this? 1
5 Chen Formula What is this? 21
4 Hellmuth Tier What is this? 1
0.07 Expected Value What is this? 2.32

Pair Of Sixes vs Pair Of Aces - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Pair Of Sixes   Pair Of Aces
0 High Card 0
0 One Pair 14,847,300
0 Two Pair 20,062,080
5,750,352 Three Of A Kind 7,241,292
1,411,740 Straight 317,448
600,984 Flush 1,054,044
3,610,080 Full House 5,393,376
544,896 Four Of A Kind 563,112
15,480 Straight Flush 4,716

Strategic Breakdown: 66 vs AA

AA enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 80.46% equity, while 66 trails at 19.54% (with 0.37% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • 66 Direct Win: 19.36%
  • AA Direct Win: 80.27%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.37%
  • Statistical Edge: +60.92% for AA

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Low Variance (Dominant Favorite)

Frequently Asked Questions: 66 vs AA

Who is favored to win between 66 and AA?

AA holds the statistical advantage with 80.46% equity and a 80.27% win rate. 66 has 19.54% equity and wins 19.36% of the time, with a 0.37% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.37%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 19.36%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 5.2 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs