Seven Four Suited Vs King Nine Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: K9s (63.95% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: 74s: 35.69% • K9s: 63.58% • Tie: 0.72%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Seven Four Suited vs King Nine Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Seven Four Suited (74s)   King Nine Suited (K9s)
35.69% Win 63.58%
0.72% Tie 0.72%
36.05% Equity 63.95%

Seven Four Suited vs King Nine Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Seven Four Suited   King Nine Suited
8 Sklansky Rating What is this? 6
1 Chen Formula What is this? 4
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? -
-0.11 Expected Value What is this? 0.09

Seven Four Suited vs King Nine Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Seven Four Suited   King Nine Suited
0 High Card 1,097,160
2,175,984 One Pair 7,064,064
3,357,684 Two Pair 4,966,236
790,200 Three Of A Kind 1,018,620
1,416,384 Straight 930,216
1,408,056 Flush 1,676,848
566,208 Full House 612,480
31,680 Four Of A Kind 37,072
32,684 Straight Flush 17,388

Strategic Breakdown: 74s vs K9s

K9s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 63.95% equity, while 74s trails at 36.05% (with 0.72% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • 74s Direct Win: 35.69%
  • K9s Direct Win: 63.58%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.72%
  • Statistical Edge: +27.9% for K9s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: 74s vs K9s

Who is favored to win between 74s and K9s?

K9s holds the statistical advantage with 63.95% equity and a 63.58% win rate. 74s has 36.05% equity and wins 35.69% of the time, with a 0.72% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.72%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 35.69%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.8 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs