Eight Six Unsuited Vs Queen Ten Unsuited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: QTo (65.02% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: 86o: 34.55% • QTo: 64.6% • Tie: 0.86%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Eight Six Unsuited vs Queen Ten Unsuited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Eight Six Unsuited (86o)   Queen Ten Unsuited (QTo)
34.55% Win 64.60%
0.86% Tie 0.86%
34.98% Equity 65.02%

Eight Six Unsuited vs Queen Ten Unsuited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Eight Six Unsuited   Queen Ten Unsuited
- Sklansky Rating What is this? 6
2.5 Chen Formula What is this? 6
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? -
-0.11 Expected Value What is this? -0.02

Eight Six Unsuited vs Queen Ten Unsuited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Eight Six Unsuited   Queen Ten Unsuited
0 High Card 10,249,200
20,293,632 One Pair 66,192,336
31,329,936 Two Pair 45,459,360
7,299,072 Three Of A Kind 9,455,616
18,203,976 Straight 17,620,632
2,619,216 Flush 4,413,060
5,100,768 Full House 5,512,032
285,120 Four Of A Kind 329,040
54,216 Straight Flush 42,084

Strategic Breakdown: 86o vs QTo

QTo enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 65.02% equity, while 86o trails at 34.98% (with 0.86% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • 86o Direct Win: 34.55%
  • QTo Direct Win: 64.6%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.86%
  • Statistical Edge: +30.04% for QTo

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: 86o vs QTo

Who is favored to win between 86o and QTo?

QTo holds the statistical advantage with 65.02% equity and a 64.6% win rate. 86o has 34.98% equity and wins 34.55% of the time, with a 0.86% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.86%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 34.55%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.9 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs