Nine Five Suited vs Jack Five Suited - Odds Of Winning
Win Probability
Equity
  |
  |
|
|---|---|---|
| Nine Five Suited (95s) | Jack Five Suited (J5s) | |
| 27.87% | Win | 66.59% |
| 5.54% | Tie | 5.54% |
| 30.64% | Equity | 69.36% |
Nine Five Suited vs Jack Five Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings
  |
  |
|
|---|---|---|
| Nine Five Suited | Jack Five Suited | |
| - | Sklansky Rating What is this? | - |
| 0 | Chen Formula What is this? | 1 |
| - | Hellmuth Tier What is this? | - |
| -0.12 | Expected Value What is this? | -0.11 |
Nine Five Suited vs Jack Five Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown
| |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Nine Five Suited | Jack Five Suited | |
| 0 | High Card | 2,041,200 |
| 1,384,656 | One Pair | 6,158,808 |
| 1,725,180 | Two Pair | 2,882,400 |
| 306,756 | Three Of A Kind | 610,692 |
| 606,696 | Straight | 269,244 |
| 1,442,808 | Flush | 1,453,128 |
| 233,388 | Full House | 246,924 |
| 11,880 | Four Of A Kind | 15,504 |
| 14,964 | Straight Flush | 4,656 |
Strategic Breakdown: 95s vs J5s
J5s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 69.36% equity, while 95s trails at 30.64% (with 5.54% tie probability).
Pre-Flop Equity Distribution
- 95s Direct Win: 27.87%
- J5s Direct Win: 66.59%
- Split Pot / Tie: 5.54%
- Statistical Edge: +38.72% for J5s
Flop Probability Benchmarks
- Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
- Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
- Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
- Variance Rating: Moderate Variance
Frequently Asked Questions: 95s vs J5s
Who is favored to win between 95s and J5s?
J5s holds the statistical advantage with 69.36% equity and a 66.59% win rate. 95s has 30.64% equity and wins 27.87% of the time, with a 5.54% chance of splitting the pot.
How does this matchup change on the flop?
Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.
What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?
In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 5.54%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 27.87%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 3.6 showdowns.
How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?
In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.
