Ace Three Suited Vs King Six Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: A3s (58.93% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: A3s: 58.67% • K6s: 40.8% • Tie: 0.54%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Ace Three Suited vs King Six Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Ace Three Suited (A3s)   King Six Suited (K6s)
58.67% Win 40.80%
0.54% Tie 0.54%
58.93% Equity 41.07%

Ace Three Suited vs King Six Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Ace Three Suited   King Six Suited
5 Sklansky Rating What is this? 7
5 Chen Formula What is this? 3
5 Hellmuth Tier What is this? -
0.02 Expected Value What is this? -0.04

Ace Three Suited vs King Six Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Ace Three Suited   King Six Suited
1,257,720 High Card 0
6,115,896 One Pair 3,693,816
4,586,544 Two Pair 3,937,896
1,035,348 Three Of A Kind 801,288
748,644 Straight 689,088
1,684,564 Flush 1,429,416
589,440 Full House 589,824
37,584 Four Of A Kind 31,680
16,868 Straight Flush 4,316

Strategic Breakdown: A3s vs K6s

A3s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 58.93% equity, while K6s trails at 41.07% (with 0.54% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • A3s Direct Win: 58.67%
  • K6s Direct Win: 40.8%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.54%
  • Statistical Edge: +17.86% for A3s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: A3s vs K6s

Who is favored to win between A3s and K6s?

A3s holds the statistical advantage with 58.93% equity and a 58.67% win rate. K6s has 41.07% equity and wins 40.8% of the time, with a 0.54% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.54%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 40.8%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.5 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs