Ace Four Unsuited vs Eight Six Suited - Odds Of Winning
Win Probability
Equity
  |
  |
|
|---|---|---|
| Ace Four Unsuited (A4o) | Eight Six Suited (86s) | |
| 46.47% | Win | 53.05% |
| 0.48% | Tie | 0.48% |
| 46.71% | Equity | 53.29% |
Ace Four Unsuited vs Eight Six Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings
  |
  |
|
|---|---|---|
| Ace Four Unsuited | Eight Six Suited | |
| - | Sklansky Rating What is this? | 6 |
| 5 | Chen Formula What is this? | 2.5 |
| - | Hellmuth Tier What is this? | - |
| -0.12 | Expected Value What is this? | -0.07 |
Ace Four Unsuited vs Eight Six Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown
| |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Ace Four Unsuited | Eight Six Suited | |
| 0 | High Card | 3,384,360 |
| 10,940,400 | One Pair | 17,699,256 |
| 12,122,028 | Two Pair | 13,551,192 |
| 2,485,368 | Three Of A Kind | 3,047,040 |
| 5,807,268 | Straight | 2,634,300 |
| 4,845,384 | Flush | 1,396,740 |
| 1,766,448 | Full House | 1,767,924 |
| 95,040 | Four Of A Kind | 112,716 |
| 130,548 | Straight Flush | 10,380 |
Strategic Breakdown: A4o vs 86s
86s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 53.29% equity, while A4o trails at 46.71% (with 0.48% tie probability).
Pre-Flop Equity Distribution
- A4o Direct Win: 46.47%
- 86s Direct Win: 53.05%
- Split Pot / Tie: 0.48%
- Statistical Edge: +6.58% for 86s
Flop Probability Benchmarks
- Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
- Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
- Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
- Variance Rating: High Variance (Coin Flip)
Frequently Asked Questions: A4o vs 86s
Who is favored to win between A4o and 86s?
86s holds the statistical advantage with 53.29% equity and a 53.05% win rate. A4o has 46.71% equity and wins 46.47% of the time, with a 0.48% chance of splitting the pot.
How does this matchup change on the flop?
Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.
What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?
In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.48%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 46.47%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.2 showdowns.
How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?
In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.
