Ace Four Suited Vs Queen Six Unsuited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: A4s (61.83% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: A4s: 61.59% • Q6o: 37.94% • Tie: 0.47%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Ace Four Suited vs Queen Six Unsuited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Ace Four Suited (A4s)   Queen Six Unsuited (Q6o)
61.59% Win 37.94%
0.47% Tie 0.47%
61.83% Equity 38.17%

Ace Four Suited vs Queen Six Unsuited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Ace Four Suited   Queen Six Unsuited
5 Sklansky Rating What is this? -
5 Chen Formula What is this? 2
5 Hellmuth Tier What is this? -
0.06 Expected Value What is this? -0.13

Ace Four Suited vs Queen Six Unsuited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Ace Four Suited   Queen Six Unsuited
4,026,960 High Card 0
19,235,088 One Pair 11,162,664
14,519,844 Two Pair 11,950,164
3,245,760 Three Of A Kind 2,407,248
2,650,032 Straight 2,471,832
5,009,736 Flush 1,312,560
1,768,896 Full House 1,768,896
112,752 Four Of A Kind 95,040
52,164 Straight Flush 14,496

Strategic Breakdown: A4s vs Q6o

A4s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 61.83% equity, while Q6o trails at 38.17% (with 0.47% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • A4s Direct Win: 61.59%
  • Q6o Direct Win: 37.94%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.47%
  • Statistical Edge: +23.66% for A4s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: A4s vs Q6o

Who is favored to win between A4s and Q6o?

A4s holds the statistical advantage with 61.83% equity and a 61.59% win rate. Q6o has 38.17% equity and wins 37.94% of the time, with a 0.47% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.47%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 37.94%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.6 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs