Ace Five Suited Vs Ace Ten Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: ATs (67.56% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: A5s: 27.58% • ATs: 62.71% • Tie: 9.71%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Ace Five Suited vs Ace Ten Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Ace Five Suited (A5s)   Ace Ten Suited (ATs)
27.58% Win 62.71%
9.71% Tie 9.71%
32.44% Equity 67.56%

Ace Five Suited vs Ace Ten Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Ace Five Suited   Ace Ten Suited
5 Sklansky Rating What is this? 3
5 Chen Formula What is this? 6
5 Hellmuth Tier What is this? 4
0.08 Expected Value What is this? 0.33

Ace Five Suited vs Ace Ten Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Ace Five Suited   Ace Ten Suited
0 High Card 1,807,920
1,453,128 One Pair 5,655,936
1,629,408 Two Pair 2,548,488
310,788 Three Of A Kind 497,796
575,964 Straight 662,652
1,443,804 Flush 1,443,804
227,880 Full House 242,604
11,880 Four Of A Kind 11,880
13,944 Straight Flush 13,944

Strategic Breakdown: A5s vs ATs

ATs enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 67.56% equity, while A5s trails at 32.44% (with 9.71% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • A5s Direct Win: 27.58%
  • ATs Direct Win: 62.71%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 9.71%
  • Statistical Edge: +35.12% for ATs

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: A5s vs ATs

Who is favored to win between A5s and ATs?

ATs holds the statistical advantage with 67.56% equity and a 62.71% win rate. A5s has 32.44% equity and wins 27.58% of the time, with a 9.71% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 9.71%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 27.58%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 3.6 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs