Ace Five Suited Vs King Queen Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: A5s (57.47% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: A5s: 57.21% • KQs: 42.26% • Tie: 0.53%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Ace Five Suited vs King Queen Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Ace Five Suited (A5s)   King Queen Suited (KQs)
57.21% Win 42.26%
0.53% Tie 0.53%
57.47% Equity 42.53%

Ace Five Suited vs King Queen Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Ace Five Suited   King Queen Suited
5 Sklansky Rating What is this? 2
5 Chen Formula What is this? 9
5 Hellmuth Tier What is this? 5
0.08 Expected Value What is this? 0.39

Ace Five Suited vs King Queen Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Ace Five Suited   King Queen Suited
1,123,920 High Card 0
5,752,224 One Pair 3,691,584
4,408,308 Two Pair 3,902,868
1,011,504 Three Of A Kind 796,896
1,051,764 Straight 1,127,064
1,679,820 Flush 1,410,084
589,500 Full House 590,928
37,572 Four Of A Kind 31,680
18,416 Straight Flush 27,192

Strategic Breakdown: A5s vs KQs

A5s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 57.47% equity, while KQs trails at 42.53% (with 0.53% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • A5s Direct Win: 57.21%
  • KQs Direct Win: 42.26%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.53%
  • Statistical Edge: +14.94% for A5s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: A5s vs KQs

Who is favored to win between A5s and KQs?

A5s holds the statistical advantage with 57.47% equity and a 57.21% win rate. KQs has 42.53% equity and wins 42.26% of the time, with a 0.53% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.53%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 42.26%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.4 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs