King Four Unsuited Vs Pocket Fives Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: 55 (70.05% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: K4o: 29.61% • 55: 69.7% • Tie: 0.69%

This matchup is heavily dominated, with the favorite holding a commanding statistical edge prior to the flop.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

King Four Unsuited vs Pair Of Fives - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
King Four Unsuited (K4o)   Pair Of Fives (55)
29.61% Win 69.70%
0.69% Tie 0.69%
29.95% Equity 70.05%

King Four Unsuited vs Pair Of Fives - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
King Four Unsuited   Pair Of Fives
- Sklansky Rating What is this? 6
3 Chen Formula What is this? 4
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? 4
-0.13 Expected Value What is this? 0.02

King Four Unsuited vs Pair Of Fives - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
King Four Unsuited   Pair Of Fives
0 High Card 0
10,939,536 One Pair 26,097,984
15,997,392 Two Pair 30,964,032
3,194,496 Three Of A Kind 13,623,336
2,123,928 Straight 2,290,680
1,652,724 Flush 1,753,092
2,409,264 Full House 10,088,496
169,416 Four Of A Kind 1,092,744
12,456 Straight Flush 24,768

Strategic Breakdown: K4o vs 55

55 enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 70.05% equity, while K4o trails at 29.95% (with 0.69% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • K4o Direct Win: 29.61%
  • 55 Direct Win: 69.7%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.69%
  • Statistical Edge: +40.1% for 55

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: K4o vs 55

Who is favored to win between K4o and 55?

55 holds the statistical advantage with 70.05% equity and a 69.7% win rate. K4o has 29.95% equity and wins 29.61% of the time, with a 0.69% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.69%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 29.61%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 3.4 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs