King Five Suited Vs Pocket Kings Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: KK (88.0% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: K5s: 11.31% • KK: 87.31% • Tie: 1.38%

This matchup is heavily dominated, with the favorite holding a commanding statistical edge prior to the flop.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

King Five Suited vs Pair Of Kings - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
King Five Suited (K5s)   Pair Of Kings (KK)
11.31% Win 87.31%
1.38% Tie 1.38%
12.00% Equity 88.00%

King Five Suited vs Pair Of Kings - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
King Five Suited   Pair Of Kings
7 Sklansky Rating What is this? 1
3 Chen Formula What is this? 17
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? 1
-0.05 Expected Value What is this? 1.67

King Five Suited vs Pair Of Kings - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
King Five Suited   Pair Of Kings
0 High Card 0
0 One Pair 7,133,988
0 Two Pair 7,843,680
366,300 Three Of A Kind 1,298,520
415,800 Straight 0
1,431,456 Flush 444,432
95,472 Full House 1,217,208
11,880 Four Of A Kind 0
3,624 Straight Flush 2,088

Strategic Breakdown: K5s vs KK

KK enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 88.0% equity, while K5s trails at 12.0% (with 1.38% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • K5s Direct Win: 11.31%
  • KK Direct Win: 87.31%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 1.38%
  • Statistical Edge: +76.0% for KK

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Low Variance (Dominant Favorite)

Frequently Asked Questions: K5s vs KK

Who is favored to win between K5s and KK?

KK holds the statistical advantage with 88.0% equity and a 87.31% win rate. K5s has 12.0% equity and wins 11.31% of the time, with a 1.38% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 1.38%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 11.31%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 8.8 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs