King Five Suited Vs King Ten Unsuited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: KTo (67.64% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: K5s: 27.38% • KTo: 62.66% • Tie: 9.96%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

King Five Suited vs King Ten Unsuited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
King Five Suited (K5s)   King Ten Unsuited (KTo)
27.38% Win 62.66%
9.96% Tie 9.96%
32.36% Equity 67.64%

King Five Suited vs King Ten Unsuited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
King Five Suited   King Ten Unsuited
7 Sklansky Rating What is this? 6
3 Chen Formula What is this? 6
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? -
-0.05 Expected Value What is this? 0.01

King Five Suited vs King Ten Unsuited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
King Five Suited   King Ten Unsuited
0 High Card 5,959,440
4,831,536 One Pair 18,248,568
5,277,960 Two Pair 7,943,856
1,015,512 Three Of A Kind 1,555,800
1,005,408 Straight 3,041,712
4,015,752 Flush 1,104,816
683,640 Full House 727,812
35,640 Four Of A Kind 35,640
9,312 Straight Flush 9,876

Strategic Breakdown: K5s vs KTo

KTo enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 67.64% equity, while K5s trails at 32.36% (with 9.96% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • K5s Direct Win: 27.38%
  • KTo Direct Win: 62.66%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 9.96%
  • Statistical Edge: +35.28% for KTo

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: K5s vs KTo

Who is favored to win between K5s and KTo?

KTo holds the statistical advantage with 67.64% equity and a 62.66% win rate. K5s has 32.36% equity and wins 27.38% of the time, with a 9.96% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 9.96%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 27.38%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 3.7 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs