Queen Five Suited Vs Ten Six Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: Q5s (57.99% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: Q5s: 57.52% • T6s: 41.53% • Tie: 0.95%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Queen Five Suited vs Ten Six Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Queen Five Suited (Q5s)   Ten Six Suited (T6s)
57.52% Win 41.53%
0.95% Tie 0.95%
57.99% Equity 42.01%

Queen Five Suited vs Ten Six Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Queen Five Suited   Ten Six Suited
- Sklansky Rating What is this? -
2 Chen Formula What is this? 0.5
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? -
-0.09 Expected Value What is this? -0.11

Queen Five Suited vs Ten Six Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Queen Five Suited   Ten Six Suited
1,418,280 High Card 0
5,981,688 One Pair 3,496,968
4,393,368 Two Pair 3,851,532
1,017,680 Three Of A Kind 790,200
623,244 Straight 1,182,180
1,693,900 Flush 1,418,076
589,440 Full House 589,248
36,560 Four Of A Kind 31,680
4,316 Straight Flush 18,936

Strategic Breakdown: Q5s vs T6s

Q5s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 57.99% equity, while T6s trails at 42.01% (with 0.95% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • Q5s Direct Win: 57.52%
  • T6s Direct Win: 41.53%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.95%
  • Statistical Edge: +15.98% for Q5s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: Q5s vs T6s

Who is favored to win between Q5s and T6s?

Q5s holds the statistical advantage with 57.99% equity and a 57.52% win rate. T6s has 42.01% equity and wins 41.53% of the time, with a 0.95% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.95%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 41.53%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.4 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs