Quick Matchup Summary
Pre-Flop Favorite:
T4s (55.71% Equity)
•
Win Probabilities: T3o: 20.78% • T4s: 32.2% • Tie: 47.02%
The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.
Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations
Odds Methodology »
Ten Three Unsuited vs Ten Four Suited - Odds Of Winning
 |
|
 |
| Ten Three Unsuited (T3o) |
|
Ten Four Suited (T4s) |
| 20.78% |
Win |
32.20% |
| 47.02% |
Tie |
47.02% |
| 44.29% |
Equity |
55.71% |
Ten Three Unsuited vs Ten Four Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings
Ten Three Unsuited vs Ten Four Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown
 |
|
 |
| Ten Three Unsuited |
|
Ten Four Suited |
| 0 |
High Card |
0 |
| 4,517,568 |
One Pair |
6,944,436 |
| 4,908,168 |
Two Pair |
6,279,552 |
| 960,660 |
Three Of A Kind |
1,008,828 |
| 603,684 |
Straight |
831,276 |
| 1,091,520 |
Flush |
4,014,252 |
| 681,480 |
Full House |
721,332 |
| 35,640 |
Four Of A Kind |
35,640 |
| 10,872 |
Straight Flush |
12,420 |
Strategic Breakdown: T3o vs T4s
T4s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 55.71% equity, while T3o trails at 44.29% (with 47.02% tie probability).
Pre-Flop Equity Distribution
- T3o Direct Win: 20.78%
- T4s Direct Win: 32.2%
- Split Pot / Tie: 47.02%
- Statistical Edge:
+11.42% for T4s
Flop Probability Benchmarks
- Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
- Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
- Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
- Variance Rating:
Moderate Variance
Frequently Asked Questions: T3o vs T4s
T4s holds the statistical advantage with 55.71% equity and a 32.2% win rate. T3o has 44.29% equity and wins 20.78% of the time, with a 47.02% chance of splitting the pot.
Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.
In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 47.02%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 20.78%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 4.8 showdowns.
In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.