Ten Three Unsuited Vs Ten Four Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: T4s (55.71% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: T3o: 20.78% • T4s: 32.2% • Tie: 47.02%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Ten Three Unsuited vs Ten Four Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Ten Three Unsuited (T3o)   Ten Four Suited (T4s)
20.78% Win 32.20%
47.02% Tie 47.02%
44.29% Equity 55.71%

Ten Three Unsuited vs Ten Four Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Ten Three Unsuited   Ten Four Suited
- Sklansky Rating What is this? -
-0.5 Chen Formula What is this? -0.5
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? -
-0.12 Expected Value What is this? -0.13

Ten Three Unsuited vs Ten Four Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Ten Three Unsuited   Ten Four Suited
0 High Card 0
4,517,568 One Pair 6,944,436
4,908,168 Two Pair 6,279,552
960,660 Three Of A Kind 1,008,828
603,684 Straight 831,276
1,091,520 Flush 4,014,252
681,480 Full House 721,332
35,640 Four Of A Kind 35,640
10,872 Straight Flush 12,420

Strategic Breakdown: T3o vs T4s

T4s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 55.71% equity, while T3o trails at 44.29% (with 47.02% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • T3o Direct Win: 20.78%
  • T4s Direct Win: 32.2%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 47.02%
  • Statistical Edge: +11.42% for T4s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: T3o vs T4s

Who is favored to win between T3o and T4s?

T4s holds the statistical advantage with 55.71% equity and a 32.2% win rate. T3o has 44.29% equity and wins 20.78% of the time, with a 47.02% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 47.02%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 20.78%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 4.8 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs