Ten Four Unsuited Vs Ace Five Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: A5s (65.97% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: T4o: 33.78% • A5s: 65.72% • Tie: 0.5%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Ten Four Unsuited vs Ace Five Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Ten Four Unsuited (T4o)   Ace Five Suited (A5s)
33.78% Win 65.72%
0.50% Tie 0.50%
34.03% Equity 65.97%

Ten Four Unsuited vs Ace Five Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Ten Four Unsuited   Ace Five Suited
- Sklansky Rating What is this? 5
-0.5 Chen Formula What is this? 5
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? 5
-0.12 Expected Value What is this? 0.08

Ten Four Unsuited vs Ace Five Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Ten Four Unsuited   Ace Five Suited
0 High Card 4,669,560
8,801,352 One Pair 21,626,496
10,793,052 Two Pair 15,081,552
2,352,240 Three Of A Kind 3,250,008
2,668,716 Straight 2,406,852
1,304,244 Flush 5,021,112
1,732,500 Full House 1,802,448
95,004 Four Of A Kind 112,752
16,044 Straight Flush 41,832

Strategic Breakdown: T4o vs A5s

A5s enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 65.97% equity, while T4o trails at 34.03% (with 0.5% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • T4o Direct Win: 33.78%
  • A5s Direct Win: 65.72%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.5%
  • Statistical Edge: +31.94% for A5s

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: T4o vs A5s

Who is favored to win between T4o and A5s?

A5s holds the statistical advantage with 65.97% equity and a 65.72% win rate. T4o has 34.03% equity and wins 33.78% of the time, with a 0.5% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.5%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 33.78%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 3.0 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs