Ten Four Suited Vs Pocket Sixes Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: 66 (66.33% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: T4s: 33.18% • 66: 65.84% • Tie: 0.98%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Ten Four Suited vs Pair Of Sixes - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Ten Four Suited (T4s)   Pair Of Sixes (66)
33.18% Win 65.84%
0.98% Tie 0.98%
33.67% Equity 66.33%

Ten Four Suited vs Pair Of Sixes - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Ten Four Suited   Pair Of Sixes
- Sklansky Rating What is this? 6
-0.5 Chen Formula What is this? 5
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? 4
-0.13 Expected Value What is this? 0.07

Ten Four Suited vs Pair Of Sixes - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Ten Four Suited   Pair Of Sixes
0 High Card 0
3,367,080 One Pair 7,876,440
4,830,084 Two Pair 9,782,532
1,053,504 Three Of A Kind 4,291,056
1,169,244 Straight 712,548
2,352,972 Flush 653,904
801,648 Full House 3,368,592
53,880 Four Of A Kind 364,248
7,260 Straight Flush 8,256

Strategic Breakdown: T4s vs 66

66 enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 66.33% equity, while T4s trails at 33.67% (with 0.98% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • T4s Direct Win: 33.18%
  • 66 Direct Win: 65.84%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.98%
  • Statistical Edge: +32.66% for 66

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: T4s vs 66

Who is favored to win between T4s and 66?

66 holds the statistical advantage with 66.33% equity and a 65.84% win rate. T4s has 33.67% equity and wins 33.18% of the time, with a 0.98% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.98%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 33.18%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 3.0 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs