Ten Five Suited Vs Ace King Suited Poker Hand Odds

Quick Matchup Summary

Pre-Flop Favorite: AKs (65.81% Equity)  •  Win Probabilities: T5s: 33.93% • AKs: 65.55% • Tie: 0.52%

The favorite carries a clear mathematical edge, though post-flop board connectivity will heavily influence the winning outcome.

Based on 1.7M+ Monte Carlo simulations Odds Methodology »

Ten Five Suited vs Ace King Suited - Odds Of Winning

Win Probability

Equity

 
Ten Five Suited (T5s)   Ace King Suited (AKs)
33.93% Win 65.55%
0.52% Tie 0.52%
34.19% Equity 65.81%

Ten Five Suited vs Ace King Suited - Limit Poker Hand Ratings

 
Ten Five Suited   Ace King Suited
- Sklansky Rating What is this? 1
-0.5 Chen Formula What is this? 11
- Hellmuth Tier What is this? 1
-0.12 Expected Value What is this? 0.77

Ten Five Suited vs Ace King Suited - Winning Hand Breakdown

 
Ten Five Suited   Ace King Suited
0 High Card 1,351,380
2,260,080 One Pair 7,556,400
3,338,784 Two Pair 5,033,952
785,808 Three Of A Kind 1,039,320
877,992 Straight 625,068
1,428,444 Flush 1,689,020
566,652 Full House 613,392
31,668 Four Of A Kind 37,584
5,692 Straight Flush 12,396

Strategic Breakdown: T5s vs AKs

AKs enters this matchup as the pre-flop favorite with 65.81% equity, while T5s trails at 34.19% (with 0.52% tie probability).

Pre-Flop Equity Distribution

  • T5s Direct Win: 33.93%
  • AKs Direct Win: 65.55%
  • Split Pot / Tie: 0.52%
  • Statistical Edge: +31.62% for AKs

Flop Probability Benchmarks

  • Set-Mining (Pocket Pairs): 11.8% to flop a set (7.5 to 1 against).
  • Flopping a Flush (Suited): 0.84% (118 to 1); Flush draw: 10.9% (8 to 1).
  • Connecting on Flop (Unpaired): ~32.4% chance to pair at least one hole card.
  • Variance Rating: Moderate Variance

Frequently Asked Questions: T5s vs AKs

Who is favored to win between T5s and AKs?

AKs holds the statistical advantage with 65.81% equity and a 65.55% win rate. T5s has 34.19% equity and wins 33.93% of the time, with a 0.52% chance of splitting the pot.

How does this matchup change on the flop?

Pre-flop equities represent full five-card river run-outs across all 1.7 million combinatorial boards. However, the three-card flop accounts for roughly 71% of a hand's final texture. When the flop brings cards that coordinate with the underdog's holdings (such as straight or flush draws, or hitting an overcard), the trailing hand's equity can surge past 65–75% on the turn.

What is the probability of a split pot or bad beat?

In this exact matchup, the tie probability is 0.52%. The underdog has a direct win probability of 33.93%, meaning the trailing hand will overturn the favorite roughly 1 in every 2.9 showdowns.

How should you play this matchup in tournaments vs cash games?

In deep-stacked cash games (100bb+), position and post-flop implied odds dictate whether calling pre-flop raises is profitable. In tournament play with shallower stack depths (under 25bb), stack-to-pot ratios (SPR) shrink dramatically, making all-in shoves and 3-bet commitments mathematically dictated by pre-flop push/fold equity rather than post-flop maneuvering.

River Pairs